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May 08.2025
3 Minutes Read

Why Small Businesses Are More Concerned About Tax Policies Than Tariffs

U.S. Capitol with skyscraper overlay, symbolizing tax policy focus.

Tax Policies vs. Tariffs: The Concern of Small Businesses

In the fluctuating landscape of the U.S. economy, small businesses are feeling the weight of both tax policies and tariffs. Recent findings from the WSJ/Vistage Small Business CEO Confidence Index survey indicate that a staggering 72% of small business leaders are bracing for negative effects due to shifting tariff and trade policies. However, a growing worry is surfacing among these businesses regarding tax policies, which previously had promised optimism but are now causing unease.

Understanding the Shifting Landscape of Tax Policies

While 66% of small businesses held positive expectations about the new administration’s tax policies back in December, that confidence has plummeted to just 27% by April. This decline consecutively mirrors the delay in the administration’s approach to reinstating the favorable tax policies birthed under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2017. Businesses had anticipated swift actions to restore these beneficial provisions to support their growth.

The Critical Benefits of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

The TCJA brought substantial changes, catalyzing economic growth by offering significant tax breaks aimed primarily at enhancing investment opportunities for small enterprises. Among the pivotal tax benefits were:

  • The introduction of a 20% Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction for pass-through entities, easing tax burdens for numerous business owners.
  • A reduction of the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, making incorporation a more attractive option for many entrepreneurs.
  • Expanded Section 179 expensing options and full bonus depreciation for property and equipment, enabling immediate deductions that enhance cash flow.
  • A doubling of the estate tax exemption aimed at supporting family-owned businesses with succession planning.
  • The retention of cash accounting methods for a broader array of small businesses, simplifying their financial reporting.

However, with the impending expiration of TCJA provisions, small businesses are anticipating significant limitations on their ability to reinvest, a crucial factor for driving community growth and sustaining the American economy.

Addressing the Impacts of Tariffs and Trade Policies

As small businesses voice their concerns about the increasing tax burden alongside the pressures of tariffs, Tom Sullivan, senior vice president of small business policy at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, emphasizes the importance of addressing these dual challenges. The chamber is spearheading advocacy efforts to underscore the detrimental effects of tariffs and is pressing for relief measures.

“We need to provide immediate relief from the tariffs; they are stifling small businesses,” Sullivan asserts. The chamber’s proposals include exemption processes for small businesses affected by significant employment impacts due to tariffs, fostering a more supportive regulatory environment.

Looking Ahead: Navigating Challenges and Uncertainties

The uncertainty surrounding tax policies and tariffs isn’t just a business issue; it's a community concern. Sullivan urges CEOs to communicate these challenges to congressional representatives, highlighting their potential to impact local economies profoundly.

Making the case for permanent provisions in tax law designed to enhance the operational capabilities of small businesses is more critical than ever. As economic conditions evolve, retaining favorable tax policies is essential for maintaining levels of investment, innovation, and job creation.

In conclusion, small business leaders face a tumultuous journey ahead with intertwined challenges of tax adjustments and tariff implications. To advocate effectively for their interests, they must engage proactively with policymakers. Addressing these issues head-on not only promotes their growth but also secures a robust backbone for local and national economies alike.

Take Action for Future Stability

Now more than ever, small business owners must rally together, conveying their collective experiences and concerns to ensure their voices echo in policy decisions affecting them. Monitoring developments in this arena will empower business leaders to make informed choices.

Economic Trends

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11.04.2025

What Business Leaders Must Know About the Future of Work in 2026

Update Forecasting the Business Landscape in 2026 and Beyond As we approach 2026, CEOs and business leaders face a myriad of challenges and opportunities that will shape the future of their enterprises. Economic pressures, a rapidly evolving workforce, and advancing technology converge to create a unique environment that demands both resilience and adaptability. Organizations that can navigate these complexities will not only survive but thrive in the coming years. The Evolving Economic Landscape The economic projections for 2026 indicate modest growth, hovering around 1-2%. This stagnation is due in part to persistent inflation, rising material and labor costs, and the aftershocks of recent tariffs. Businesses must shift their focus from aggressive growth strategies to prioritizing profitability, emphasizing operational excellence aided by technology, particularly AI. With interest rates stabilizing, but not reverting to the low levels seen in the past decade, companies will face increased scrutiny from investors and lenders. This economic climate necessitates that organizations ensure their balance sheets are not only healthy but also prepared for potential market downturns, which experts predict could materialize between 2027 and 2030. Navigating Workforce Challenges Another pressing issue for business leaders is the reality of a shrinking workforce. Declining birth rates, an aging population, and limited immigration have created a talent scarcity that is more than a temporary trend—it's a structural challenge. The so-called “no-hire, no-fire” labor market is evidence of this discomfort, where organizations find themselves unable to expand their headcount while also struggling to keep existing employees engaged. Addressing employee engagement will be vital, as studies show that only about one-third of employees feel fully engaged in their work. To combat disengagement, businesses need to rethink their corporate culture and employee value proposition. Moving beyond merely offering competitive pay, companies must provide meaningful work that fosters development and a sense of belonging. Technology as a Strategic Imperative In 2026, technology will crystallize as a strategic base rather than a secondary concern. The democratization of tech means small and midsize businesses (SMBs) have access to capabilities once reserved for larger enterprises. It is imperative for these companies to leverage technologies such as AI effectively. The key is not just having access to technology but using it to streamline processes and enhance customer experiences. This year, businesses will focus on integrating AI into their operations. The role of AI will transition from a tool of automation to a pivotal part of strategic decision-making. Companies that embrace AI will unlock new efficiencies and productivity gains, while those that lag may find themselves left behind. Building a Resilient Future: Opportunities Ahead The convergence of these trends offers unique opportunities for strategizing effectively. CEOs can position their companies as leaders in their fields by championing workforce engagement and technological advancement. Companies that prioritize employee well-being and invest in AI capabilities will have the dual advantage of fostering a culture of innovation and capitalizing on operational efficiencies. Looking Forward As the complexities of the business environment unfold, 2026 will serve as a critical juncture for many organizations. By confronting these challenges head-on, adopting a mindset focused on resilience, and harnessing the power of technology, business leaders can not only navigate the uncertain waters but emerge stronger than before. For CEOs and business owners, the future is not merely a realm of uncertainty but a canvas of opportunities waiting to be capitalized. The insights of 2026 should ignite conversations and actions today that will pave the way for sustainable success in the years ahead.

10.28.2025

Navigating Economic Trends for 2026: Key Insights for CEOs

Update Projecting Economic Trends: A Comprehensive Overview As we edge into the latter part of 2025 and set our sights on the unfolding economic landscape for 2026 and beyond, it’s crucial to contextualize where we have been. The previous year has been predominantly characterized by the Federal Reserve's aggressive maneuvers to tame inflation, primarily instigated by supply chain disruptions stemming from the pandemic and government stimulus efforts. The direct correlation between federal spending and consumer price indices (CPI) has now become clearer, leading many experts to take a more discerning view of fiscal policies impacting national growth. Understanding Key Economic Risks Recent surveys conducted among North American executives reveal an alarming consensus: 84% cite geopolitics and a shifting balance of global power as the greatest threats to the American economy. This signals a pivotal shift in how business leaders perceive risks, moving away from internal concerns to external geopolitical shifts. Despite predictions of a modest GDP growth rate around 2% for 2025, many economists have consistently underestimated growth, indicating a potential economic resilience that could surprise analysts yet again. Debt and Inflation: A Ticking Time Bomb The trajectory of U.S. national debt is reaching precarious heights, with estimates suggesting it will breach 120% of GDP by 2030 if bipartisan agreement on fiscal reforms remains elusive. The implications are grave — economists warn of the negative consequences associated with excessive leverage including reduced investment and potential economic stagnation. Simultaneously, while it seems improbable that inflation will rebound to 6% in the short term, persistent employment pressures and inflationary policies could lead to unwelcome consequences down the line. The Fed's ability to balance its mandates of controlling unemployment and inflation is about to face unprecedented challenges, especially with embedded inflationary pressures likely to persist. Regional Manufacturing Trends Amid Global Changes With expectations that global manufacturing output will see marginal gains in 2025, U.S. manufacturers operate under increased scrutiny, particularly those engaged in a zero-sum market defined by complex tariff regulations. It’s worth noting the Biden Administration's intent to maintain existing Trump-era tax cuts, which poses further implications for the import-export landscape in the U.S. For instance, the imposition of significant tariffs — including a sweeping 100% tariff on Chinese electric vehicle imports — could drive costs up for American consumers amid heightened tensions in trade negotiations. Geopolitical Context: A Modern Perspective The world is experiencing a wave of geopolitical uncertainty, exacerbated by conflicts such as Russia's aggression in Ukraine and rising tensions between the U.S. and China. These factors are shaping firm behavior and investment strategies across many sectors. Research by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston illustrates that firms are increasingly embracing caution when it comes to investments, leading to significant reductions in future spending — particularly in industries heavily affected by geopolitical dynamics. Future-Proofing Investments Amid Uncertainty To navigate this evolving economic environment, business leaders must develop strategies that take into account both geopolitical risks and domestic economic trends. Firms with strong cash positions appear more resilient to fluctuations in geopolitical risk. This insight is paramount for CEOs and decision-makers as they consider their long-term capital investments in physical assets. The challenge lies in balancing risk management with growth initiatives, all while observing the rapidly evolving international trade environment. Conclusion: Navigating the Economic Path Forward In conclusion, the economic outlook for 2026 and beyond is interwoven with complex geopolitical threads and domestic fiscal challenges. The successful navigation of this landscape will depend on adaptability and forward-thinking strategies among business leaders. Companies must remain vigilant in monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical events to seize emerging opportunities while mitigating risks effectively. Call to Action: For CEOs and business leaders looking to equip themselves with strategies that can help them thrive amidst these economic changes, consider joining forums and discussions focused on leadership strategies and economic resilience.

10.24.2025

High Insurance Costs and Economic Uncertainty Sour Small Business Outlook

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